NWS Area Forecast Discussion


000
FXUS64 KFWD 222346
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
546 PM CST Sun Jan 22 2017

.AVIATION...

...VFR with decreasing wind speeds...

Upper level high pressure will build over the state through Monday and
result in a mostly clear sky. The surface pressure gradient will
weaken through the night as a strong low pressure system moves
towards the East Coast. A strong and gusty northwest wind
currently will fall below 15 knots by 02Z this evening and below
10 knots around 06Z. The wind will turn to the south after
sunrise Monday with wind speeds gradually increasing through the
afternoon.

79

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 PM CST Sun Jan 22 2017/
It has been a quite a windy day across North and Central Texas
with gusts of 35 to nearly 50 mph having been reported. Central
Texas has had the strongest gusts in our forecast area today with
Cameron Municipal Airport (KT35) and Temple Draughon-Miller
Central Texas Regional Airport (KTPL) both having reported wind
gusts to 49 mph. These gusty northwesterly winds are the result a
strong pressure gradient from an intense low pressure system that
had moved into the southeastern United States as of 3 PM.

Skies have cleared across areas west of a Bonham to Corsicana to
Cameron line and the clouds will clear out of the rest of the
forecast area shortly after sunset. Wind speeds are expected to
drop off nicely after sunset - down to 15 to 25 mph by 7 pm and 5
to 10 mph after midnight. Thus, we are not planning to extend the
Wind Advisory past 6 PM. After highs today in the upper 50s to mid
60s, low tonight will be in mid 30s to lower 40s.

Dry weather is expected for the rest of the week. Surface winds
will come around to the south during the day Monday as a surface
high moves east. With weak upper level ridging ahead of the next
shortwave, we will have a nice warm up Monday through Tuesday.
Highs Monday will be around 60 northeast to the lower 70s
southwest. With southwest to southwesterly winds on Tuesday as a
dry line moves into the region, highs will be in the 70s area wide
and a few points may approach 80 degrees!

A cold front will move through the region overnight Tuesday night
into Wednesday morning. Temperatures are then expected to be near
seasonal normals for the rest of the week.

58

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    41  66  50  75  43 /   0   0   0   5  10
Waco                40  68  47  77  42 /   0   0   0   5  10
Paris               38  60  44  72  42 /   5   0   0  10  10
Denton              37  64  47  74  39 /   0   0   0   5  10
McKinney            38  63  47  73  41 /   0   0   0   5  10
Dallas              42  66  51  75  44 /   0   0   0   5  10
Terrell             40  64  48  74  43 /   0   0   0   5  10
Corsicana           42  66  50  76  44 /   0   0   0   5  10
Temple              41  69  49  76  44 /   0   0   0   5  10
Mineral Wells       38  70  47  73  38 /   0   0   0   5  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for TXZ091>095-100>107-
115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

$$

79/25

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion